PPP’s Final Poll for NJ Governor race: Christie 47% Corzine 41%

Public Policy Polling’s final poll before Tuesday’s New Jersey Governor election has Chris Christie leading incumbent Jon Corzine 47%-41% with Chris Daggett at 11%. Since pulling within 1% of Christie, Corzine’s momentum has gone back down the toilet (much like his state). The independent vote is what is putting Christie ahead about 6% now. The independent vote according to PPP is 52%-29%. Also, Christie is getting 82% of Republican vote to Corzine’s 72% of Democrats vote.

As the campaign concludes it seems like Daggett’s presence in the race has actually ended up hurting Corzine more than Christie, contrary to the earlier conventional wisdom. 45% of Daggett voters say the incumbent is their second choice to 36% for the challenger. Daggett’s backers report having voted for Barack Obama by a 67-23 margin last year.

As is the case around the country this year enthusiasm is on the Republicans’ side in New Jersey. 47% of Christie’s supporters say they’re ‘very excited’ about voting this fall to just 34% of Corzine’s. The electorate is also likely to be more Republican leaning this year with likely voters reporting that they voted for Obama by a 54-43 margin in 2008, a spread narrower than the actual 57-42 result in the state.

In a finding symbolic of how unenthralled New Jersey voters were with their choices this year Christie is polling at 47% despite the fact that only 40% of voters think he made a strong case for why he should be elected Governor. Fully 27% of Christie’s supporters don’t feel he made the case for himself but Corzine’s approval rating with that group of voters is only 3%, and those folks seem to have picked Christie as the lesser of two evils.

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November 1, 2009 · Filed Under Political Polling

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