Generic Congressional Ballot – Republicans lead Democrats by 24% points with independents!

Democrat PorkulusAccording to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey, 44% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 37% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent overall. This gives Republicans a 7% point lead over Democrats which is their largest margin since the September poll. But what is of most significance is the fact that voters not affiliated with either party aka independents heavily favor Republicans, 44% to 20%, a whopping 24% spread. Of course Democrats can argue how Rasmussen is such a right-wing biased poll, but this fits the same trend of the New Jersey and Virigina Governorship races in which independents went 20% more from the Republican candidate then the Democrat.

Since late June, support for Republican candidates has ranged from 41% to 44%, while support for Democrats has run from 36% to 40%. Looking back one year ago, the two parties were in a much different place. Throughout the fall of 2008, support for Democratic congressional candidates ranged from 42% to 47%. Republican support ranged from 37% to 41%.

Still, in October, for the third straight month, the number of Americans identifying themselves as Democrats inched up while the number of Republicans fell slightly.

While other polling firms appear to show different results on the generic ballot, Real Clear Politics explains the differences in survey samples and question ordering, stating, “If you are asking which pollsters have it right, I’d probably put my money on Gallup-Rasmussen.”

In the latest survey to indicate growing voter unhappiness with incumbents, longtime Arizona GOP Senator John McCain appears to be facing a tougher road to reelection than previously thought.

Even as Democrats kept 60 senators in line this past weekend to begin debate on health care reform in the Senate, support for the plan fell to a new low. Just 38% of voters now favor the health care plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats.

On Tuesday, Obama’s job approval rating as measured by the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll dropped to -15, the lowest of his presidency to date.


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November 24, 2009 · Filed Under 2010 Elections, Democrats, congress

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