Dick Morris explains how the GOP will win the Senate in the November elections

I don’t know if I share Morris’s optimism about winning as many Senate seats as he’s predicting, but its an interesting thing to watch for this year. Of course. Dick Morris also has a lot more experience in these situations than say, I do.  That being said, Morris says that if the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to Rasmussen’s polls, it will capture eight Democratic seats while holding all of its own. The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California.

The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California. Even if Coats does not run, former Congressman John Hostettler is only behind Bayh by 44-41. And, in California, former Hewlitt Packhard CEO Carly Fiorina is also only three points behind Senator Barbara Boxer.

(This assumes that former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson takes on Senator Russ Feingold).

Here’s the data:

In these eight races, the Republican is ahead:

State Contest Latest Polling Date
Delaware Castle v Coones Castle +29 Jan
ND Hoeven v unknown Hoeven +20 (v Dorgan) Dec
Ark Lincoln v 4 opps Repub (Baker) +19 Feb
Nev Reid v 3 opps Repub (Tarkanian) +8 Feb
Colorado Norton v Bennet Norton +14 Feb
Penn Toomey v Specter Toomey +9 Jan
Illinois Kirk v Giannoulias Kirk +6 Feb
Wisconsin Thompson v Feingold Thompson +3 Jan

And, in these two states, the results are close:

State Contest Latest Polling Date
California Boxer v 3 opps Boxer (v Fiorina) +3 Jan
Indiana Bayh v Hostettler Bayh +3 Jan

If Republicans take all ten seats, they take control in the Senate.

In addition strong challenges may be shaping up in New York against Kirsten Gillibrand and in Washington State against Patty Murray.

Gillibrand, appointed to fill Hillary’s seat, is very vulnerable, both in a primary against former Tennessee Democratic Congressman Harold Ford and in a general election. If a strong candidate emerges, she and/or Ford could be defeated.

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February 8, 2010 · Filed Under 2010 Elections


Comments

  • T J Ott

    Please pay attention to Sharron Angle in her effort to defeat Harry Reid in Nevada. She is the conservative in that race.

  • Phyllis Westrup

    I agree with TJ Ott that you need to look into Sharron Angle running in Nevada for Senate. There are 10 to 12 candidates running in the Republican primary there. Sharron is the real deal. She served 4 terms in the Nevada legislature and has a very conservative record. None of the other candidates have the record she has. Most have not even served in any office and the ones that have served have compromised their conservative principles in the past. Check out her website at http://www.SharronAngle.com or just go to the Nevada Legislatures official site and see her conservative record.

  • David Lowenthal

    I’m glad to see other Jews who I can agree with. So thank you..