Carly Fiorina up by 2 percentage points over Ma’am Boxer

boxerSurvey USA’s latest poll shows Carly Fiorina leading Ma’am Boxer for the first time since winning the primary. Fiorina has 47% while Boxer has 45%. While I’m not a big fan of Fiorina, she would still get my vote simply to get rid of Boxer. In an election for Governor of California today, Republican Meg Whitman leads Democrat Jerry Brown by a whopping 7 percentage points at 46% to 39%. Much like Fiorina, I’m not fan of Whitman. Still, she will get my vote. I lived through the 1970s with Jerry Brown as Governor, and don’t want a repeat.

In the race for United States Senate, Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and Republican Carly Fiorina are effectively even. Fiorina 47%, Boxer 45%, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error. Twice as many Democrats cross-over to vote Republican as Republicans who cross-over to vote Democrat. The Republican has an ever-so-slight advantage in Greater Los Angeles and in the Central Valley. The Republican carries the Inland Empire 2:1. The Democrat carries the Bay Area 2:1. Question 3 and 4 on this report show the identical data. Question 3 collapses 6 minor party candidates and “undecided” voters into a single “other / undecided” category. Respondents were asked the “who will you vote for” for US Senate question once.

Proposition 19, which would legalize marijuana, and allow marijuana to be regulated and taxed in California, is supported narrowly today. Ballot measures are difficult to poll; opposition to many ballot measures increases as election day approaches. Voter reaction to Proposition 19 can be expected to shift as both sides begin to advertise the pros and cons of passage. Today: The youngest voters support. The oldest voters oppose. Democrats and Independents support. Republicans oppose.

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July 13, 2010 · Filed Under 2010 Elections


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